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2052: A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years

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by Jorgen Randers
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2052: A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years by Jorgen Randers

Forty years ago, The Limits to Growth study addressed the grand question of how humans would adapt to the physical limitations of planet Earth. It predicted that during the first half of the 21st century the ongoing growth in the human ecological footprint would stop-either through catastrophic "overshoot and collapse"-or through well-managed "peak and decline."

So, where are we now? And what does our future look like?  In the book 2052, Jorgen Randers, one of the coauthors of Limits to Growth, issues a progress report and makes a forecast for the next forty years. To do this, he asked dozens of experts to weigh in with their best predictions on how our economies, energy supplies, natural resources, climate, food, fisheries, militaries, political divisions, cities, psyches, and more will take shape in the coming decades. He then synthesized those scenarios into a global forecast of life as we will most likely know it in the years ahead.

The good news: we will see impressive advances in resource efficiency, and an increasing focus on human well-being rather than on per capita income growth. But this change might not come as we expect. Future growth in population and GDP, for instance, will be constrained in surprising ways-by rapid fertility decline as result of increased urbanization, productivity decline as a result of social unrest, and continuing poverty among the poorest 2 billion world citizens. Runaway global warming, too, is likely.

So, how do we prepare for the years ahead? With heart, fact, and wisdom, Randers guides us along a realistic path into the future and discusses what readers can do to ensure a better life for themselves and their children during the increasing turmoil of the next forty years.To view this DRM protected ebook on your desktop or laptop you will need to have Adobe Digital Editions installed. It is a free software. We also strongly recommend that you sign up for an AdobeID at the Adobe website. For more details please see FAQ 1&2. To view this ebook on an iPhone, iPad or Android mobile device you will need the Adobe Digital Editions app, or BlueFire Reader or Txtr app. These are free, too. For more details see this article.


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Ebook Details
Pages: 416
Size: 3.2 MB
Publisher: Chelsea Green Publishing
Date published:   2012
ISBN: 9781603584227 (DRM-EPUB)

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This product is listed in the following categories:

Nonfiction > Business & Economics > Development > Sustainable Development
Nonfiction > Social Science > Future Studies

This author has products in the following categories:

Nonfiction > Business & Economics > Development > Sustainable Development
Nonfiction > Social Science > Future Studies
Nonfiction > Business & Economics > Economic Conditions
Nonfiction > Science > Environmental Science
Nonfiction > Social Science > Third World Development
Nonfiction > Business & Economics > Environmental Economics

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03/24/2017
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