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China's Growth:Can Goldilocks Outgrow Bears?

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by Wojciech Maliszewski & Longmei Zhang
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China's Growth:Can Goldilocks Outgrow Bears? by Wojciech Maliszewski & Longmei Zhang

The paper analyzes the recent growth dynamics in China, evaluating both cyclical positions and long-term growth prospects. The analysis shows that financial cycles play a more important role than traditional inflation-based cycles in shaping the dynamics of growth. Currently, the ‘finance-neutral’ gap—our measure of the financial cycle—is large and positive, reflecting imbalances accumulated in the economy since the Global Financial Crisis. A period of slower growth is therefore both likely and needed in the near term to restore the economy to equilibrium. In the medium term, growth will slow as China moves closer to the technology frontier, but a steadfast implementation of reforms can ensure that China follows the path of the “Asia Tigers” and achieves successful convergence to high-income status.

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Ebook Details
Pages: 31
Size: 1.9 MB
Date published:   2015
ISBN: 9781513524351 (DRM-EPUB)

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This product is listed in the following categories:

Nonfiction > Business & Economics > Economics
Nonfiction > Business & Economics > International > Economics
Nonfiction > Business & Economics > Economics > Macroeconomics

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Nonfiction > Business & Economics > International
Nonfiction > Business & Economics
Nonfiction > Business & Economics > International > Economics
Nonfiction > Business & Economics > Finance
Nonfiction > Business & Economics > Labor
Nonfiction > Business & Economics > Economics
Nonfiction > Business & Economics > Economics > Macroeconomics

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