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Nigeria

International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.

Nigeria by International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.Nigeria: Selected Issues
2017 / 4 / 19
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Nigeria

International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.

Nigeria by International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.The slump in oil prices and production and an inadequate policy response are increasing unemployment and undermining efforts to reduce poverty. The authorities took some steps in 2016 to reduce vulnerabilities, mainly by deregulating fuel prices, increasing the monetary policy rate, and allowing currency depreciation to reduce the exchange rate misalignment. However, further actions are urgently needed to tackle the low revenue effort, large infrastructure deficit, rising debt service, double-digit inflation, and a foreign exchange market marred by restrictions. These actions need to be supported...
2017 / 4 / 19
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South Sudan

International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.

South Sudan by International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.South Sudan has suffered civil conflict, political instability and external shocks in the past three years. A steep decline in oil production and a sharp drop in oil prices have caused large shortfalls in foreign exchange receipts and government revenue. Continued high government spending led to massive fiscal deficits that were either monetized or financed through accumulation of arrears. The country is in a deep economic crisis with annual inflation peaking at 550 percent in September 2016 and a precipitous currency depreciation. Gross international reserves have dropped to about one week...
2017 / 4 / 3
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Kenya

International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.

Kenya by International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.The Executive Board approved on March 14, 2016 a 24-month Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) and an arrangement under the Standby Credit Facility (SCF), with combined access of SDR 1.063888 billion (196 percent of quota). The first tranche of SDR 542.8 million (100 percent of quota) was made available upon approval of the arrangements, and a further SDR 56.994 million (10.5 percent of quota) will become available upon completion of the first reviews. The authorities intend to continue treating both arrangements as precautionary, and to draw only if exogenous shocks lead to an actual balance of payment...
2017 / 3 / 20
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Niger

International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.

Niger by International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.Niger: Selected Issues
2017 / 3 / 19
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Niger

International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.

Niger by International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.Economic growth is estimated to have increased to 4.6 percent in 2016 from 3.5 percent in 2015, helped by a strong 2016-17 crop year and despite continued weakness in the oil and mining sectors, adverse spillovers from the economic downturn in Nigeria and continued elevated security threats. Inflation remains subdued. Notwithstanding recent macroeconomic gains, Niger still ranks last on the UN's Human Development Index with growth barely above the estimated rate of population growth (4.1 percent a year). President Issoufou secured a second term in the presidential and legislative elections held...
2017 / 3 / 19
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Seychelles

International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.

Seychelles by International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.Completion of the fourth review was delayed after the government announced in early 2016 expenditure and revenue initiatives with estimated annual fiscal costs of 3 percent of GDP. After the opposition won a majority in parliament in September, the President announced his resignation and the Vice President took over. With low commodity prices and strong tourist arrivals, the economic developments since the third review have been favorable and economic outlook for 2016?17 remains positive.
2017 / 3 / 19
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Angola

International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.

Angola by International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.This 2016 Article IV Consultation highlights that the oil price shock that started in mid-2014 has substantially reduced Angola's fiscal revenue and exports. Growth was estimated to come to a halt in 2016, with the nonoil sector contracting by 0.5 percent, dragged down by the industrial, construction, and services sectors. Industrial production, despite the potential for import substitution, was constrained by shortages of imported inputs owing to limited availability of foreign exchange. The current account deficit, which peaked at 10 percent of GDP in 2015, is projected to be halved in 2016-17,...
2017 / 3 / 13
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United Republic of Tanzania

International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.

United Republic of Tanzania by International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.Tanzania's macroeconomic performance remains strong. Economic growth was strong during the first half of 2016 and is projected to remain at about 7 percent this fiscal year. Inflation came down below the authorities' target of 5 percent and is expected to remain close to the target. There are downside risks to economic growth, however, stemming from the currently tight stance of macroeconomic policies, the slow pace of implementation of public investment, and private sector uncertainty about the government's new economic strategies.
2017 / 3 / 7
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Central African Republic

International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.

Central African Republic by International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.The three-year arrangement under the Extended Credit Facility (ECF) was approved on July 20, 2016 in an amount of SDR 83.55 million (75 percent of quota) for the Central African Republic (C.A.R.). The ECF arrangement supports the government's reform agenda to restore macroeconomic stability, boost economic growth and job creation, reduce poverty, and build resilience towards exiting fragility.
2017 / 3 / 7
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Rwanda

International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.

Rwanda by International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.The authorities' policy adjustment program is producing early results. By end-October, the exchange rate had depreciated more than expected for the year, and fiscal and monetary policies were tightened in line with the agreed program. During the first 10 months of the year, import volumes contracted, despite large public investment projects, and export volumes improved, despite continued difficulties in the mining sector. Growth began decelerating in Q2, in line with expectations. Inflation has picked up, mainly as a result of food shortages stemming from drought, and to a lesser extent exchange...
2017 / 3 / 7
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Uganda

International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.

Uganda by International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.The economy has performed reasonably well in a complex environment. Growth slowed marginally in FY15/16, reflecting muted sentiment in an election year and adverse global and regional developments. Growth should nudge up in FY16/17 to 5 percent, low compared to past performance and regional peers. Credit to the private sector has stalled, and non-performing loans (NPLs) have increased, also reflecting domestic government arrears. The current account deficit is fully financed. The Shilling has stabilized after a sharp depreciation in 2015, and international reserve coverage remains adequate.
2017 / 3 / 7
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Senegal

International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.

Senegal by International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.Implementation of the "Plan Sénégal Emergent" (PSE) is beginning to pay dividends, contributing to projected growth of over 6 percent for the second year in a row. However, for growth to be sustained, further reforms are needed to improve the business environment and create economic space for private domestic and foreign investment. The challenge of meeting infrastructure development objectives without undermining debt sustainability will require continuing efforts to improve the quality of investment while pursuing a prudent debt strategy that keeps the cost of borrowing at reasonable rates....
2017 / 3 / 5
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Senegal

International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.

Senegal by International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.Senegal: Selected Issues
2017 / 3 / 5
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Burkina Faso

International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.

Burkina Faso by International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.This Selected Issues paper examines the impact of scaled-up public investment in Burkina Faso. The results suggest that "big-push" investment efforts, while designed to accelerate growth, are likely to run up against significant absorption-capacity constraints. These constraints will diminish the efficiency of investment spending and result in lower public capital accumulation and productivity growth than under a more measured approach. The empirical evidence from the experience of many countries also suggests that the results of aggressive scaling-up initiatives are mixed.
2017 / 3 / 3
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Burkina Faso

International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.

Burkina Faso by International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.This 2016 Article IV Consultation highlights a rebound in economic activity in Burkina Faso beginning in 2016, after two years of weak growth. The January terrorist attacks and delays in approving the budget weighed on activity in the early part of 2016, but activity has rebounded, and real GDP growth is now projected at 5.4 percent, an improvement over 4.0 percent in 2015. The recovery is led by two new gold mines that came onstream and a sharp projected rebound in agricultural output in late 2016 and early 2017, after three disappointing years. The recovery is expected to consolidate in 2017,...
2017 / 3 / 3
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Union of Comoros

International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.

Union of Comoros by International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.This Selected Issues paper assesses the main fiscal trends of the Comorian economy over 2005-15. It highlights continued difficulties in the fiscal performance of and the outlook for Comoros as a result of systemic challenges in revenue administration and public financial management. In particular, there is a structural imbalance between domestic resource mobilization and current spending, especially on public wages and salaries, leaving little scope for domestically financed capital spending, which is essential for economic growth and social development. This fiscal imbalance is more pronounced...
2017 / 3 / 3
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Cote d'Ivoire

International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.

Cote d'Ivoire by International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.Cote D'Ivoire: Economic Development Documents-National Development Plan, 2016-20
2017 / 2 / 22
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Liberia

International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.

Liberia by International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.This paper discusses Liberia's Fifth and Sixth Reviews Under the Extended Credit Facility (ECF) Arrangement, Request for Waivers of Nonobservance of Performance Criteria, Augmentation of Access, and Extension of the Arrangement. Two end-December 2015 and three end-June performance criteria were missed. Two out of nine structural benchmarks for the fifth review were met, while three were completed late. Three out of five structural benchmarks for the sixth review were met. The IMF staff supports the completion of the fifth and sixth reviews and the authorities' requests for waivers of nonobservance...
2017 / 2 / 22
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Union of Comoros

International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.

Union of Comoros by International Monetary Fund. Afri Dept.This 2016 Article IV Consultation highlights difficulties the economy of Comoros encountered in 2015 and the first half of 2016. An ongoing crisis in the electricity sector and slower-than-expected implementation of the public investment program were the main factors behind the slower growth. Inflation remained well anchored at an annual rate of about 2 percent. Fiscal policy was challenging for most of 2015 as the impact of slower economic growth was compounded by lower revenues. Growth is projected to pick up somewhat to 2 percent in 2016, and revenues are projected to increase to 12 percent...
2017 / 2 / 22
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05/27/2017
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