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Sharing a Ride on the Commodities Roller Coaster

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by Andres Fernandez & Andres Gonzalez
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Sharing a Ride on the Commodities Roller Coaster by Andres Fernandez & Andres Gonzalez

Fluctuations in commodity prices are an important driver of business cycles in small emerging market economies (EMEs). We document how these fluctuations correlate strongly with the business cycle in EMEs. We then embed a commodity sector into a multi-country EMEs' business cycle model where exogenous fluctuations in commodity prices follow a common dynamic factor structure and coexist with other driving forces. The estimated model assigns to commodity shocks 42 percent of the variance in income, of which a considerable part is linked to the common factor. A further amplification mechanism is a "spillover" effect from commodity prices to risk premia.

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Ebook Details
Pages: 60
Size: 3.5 MB
Date published:   2015
ISBN: 9781513510446 (DRM-EPUB)
9781513562667 (DRM-PDF)

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This product is listed in the following categories:

Nonfiction > Business & Economics > Economics
Nonfiction > Business & Economics > International > Economics
Nonfiction > Business & Economics > Economics > Macroeconomics

These authors have products in the following categories:

Nonfiction > Business & Economics > International > Economics
Nonfiction > Business & Economics > Economics > Macroeconomics
Nonfiction > Business & Economics > Economics

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