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Snowball in a Blizzard: A Physician's Notes on Uncertainty in Medicine

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by Steven Hatch
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Snowball in a Blizzard: A Physician's Notes on Uncertainty in Medicine by Steven Hatch

There??s a running joke among radiologists: finding a tumor in a mammogram is akin to finding a snowball in a blizzard. A bit of medical gallows humor, this simile illustrates the difficulties of finding signals (the snowball) against a background of noise (the blizzard). Doctors are faced with similar difficulties every day when sifting through piles of data from blood tests to X-rays to endless lists of patient symptoms.

Diagnoses are often just educated guesses, and prognoses less certain still. There is a significant amount of uncertainty in the daily practice of medicine, resulting in confusion and potentially deadly complications. Dr. Steven Hatch argues that instead of ignoring this uncertainty, we should embrace it. By digging deeply into a number of rancorous controversies, from breast cancer screening to blood pressure management, Hatch shows us how medicine can fail—sometimes spectacularly—when patients and doctors alike place too much faith in modern medical technology. The key to good health might lie in the ability to recognize the hype created by so many medical reports, sense when to push a physician for more testing, or resist a physician??s enthusiasm when unnecessary tests or treatments are being offered.

Both humbling and empowering, Snowball in a Blizzard lays bare the inescapable murkiness that permeates the theory and practice of modern medicine. Essential reading for physicians and patients alike, this book shows how, by recognizing rather than denying that uncertainty, we can all make better health decisions.

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Ebook Details
Pages: 312
Size: 606 KB
Publisher: Basic Books
Date published:   2016
ISBN: 9780465098576 (DRM-EPUB)

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This product is listed in the following categories:

Nonfiction > Mathematics > Probability & Statistics
Nonfiction > Medical > Clinical Chemistry
Nonfiction > Medical > Evidence-Based Medicine

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