In The Improbability Principle, the renowned statistician David J. Hand argues that extraordinarily rare events are anything but. In fact, they're commonplace. Not only that, we should all expect to experience a miracle roughly once every month.
But Hand is no believer in superstitions, prophecies, or the paranormal. His definition of "miracle" is thoroughly rational. No mystical or supernatural explanation is necessary to understand why someone is lucky enough to win the lottery twice, or is destined to be hit by lightning three times and still survive. All we need, Hand argues, is a firm grounding in a powerful set of laws: the laws of inevitability, of truly large numbers, of selection, of the probability lever, and of near enough.
Together, these constitute Hand's groundbreaking Improbability Principle. And together, they explain why we should not be so surprised to bump into a friend in a foreign country, or to come across the same unfamiliar word four times in one day. Hand wrestles with seemingly less explicable questions as well: what the Bible and Shakespeare have in common, why financial crashes are par for the course, and why lightning does strike the same place (and the same person) twice. Along the way, he teaches us how to use the Improbability Principle in our own lives--including how to cash in at a casino and how to recognize when a medicine is truly effective.
An irresistible adventure into the laws behind "chance" moments and a trusty guide for understanding the world and universe we live in, The Improbability Principle will transform how you think about serendipity and luck, whether it's in the world of business and finance or you're merely sitting in your backyard, tossing a ball into the air and wondering where it will land.
To view this DRM protected ebook on your desktop or laptop you will need to have Adobe Digital Editions installed. It is a free software. We also strongly recommend that you sign up for an AdobeID at the Adobe website. For more details please see FAQ 1&2. To view this ebook on an iPhone, iPad or Android mobile device you will need the Adobe Digital Editions app, or BlueFire Reader or Txtr app. These are free, too. For more details see this article.
|Size: ||684 KB|
|Publisher: ||Scientific American / Farrar, Straus and Giro|
|Date published: || 2014|
|ISBN: ||9780374711399 (DRM-EPUB)|
|Read Aloud: ||not allowed|
|This ebook will only be sold to customers with a billing address in:|
|Afghanistan, Alan Island, Albania, Algeria, Andorra, Angola, Argentina, Armenia, Aruba, Austria, Azerbaijan, BQ, Bahrain, Belarus, Belgium, Benin, Bolivia, Bosnia and Herzegowina, Bouvet Island, Brazil, Bulgaria, Burkina Faso, Burundi, CW, Cambodia, Cameroon, Cape Verde, Central African Republic, Chad, Chile, China, Colombia, Comoros, Congo, Congo (The Democratic Republic of the), Costa Rica, Cote D'Ivoire, Croatia, Cuba, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Djibouti, Dominican Republic, Ecuador, Egypt, El Salvador, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Estonia, Ethiopia, Faroe Islands, Finland, France, French Guiana, French Polynesia, French Southern Territories, Gabon, Georgia, Germany, Gibraltar, Greece, Greenland, Guadeloupe, Guatemala, Guinea, Guinea-bissau, Haiti, Honduras, Hong Kong, Hungary, Iceland, Indonesia, Iran (Islamic Republic of), Israel, Italy, Japan, Kazakhstan, Korea (Democratic People's Republic of), Korea (Republic of), Kuwait, Kyrgyzstan, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Latvia, Lebanon, Liberia, Libyan Arab Jamahiriya, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Macau, Macedonia (The Former Yugoslav Republic of), Madagascar, Mali, Malta, Marshall Islands, Martinique, Mauritania, Mayotte, Mexico, Micronesia (Federated States of), Moldova (Republic of), Monaco, Mongolia, Montenegro, Morocco, Mozambique, Netherlands, New Caledonia, Nicaragua, Niger, Norway, Oman, Palau, Palestinian Territory (Occupied), Panama, Paraguay, Peru, Poland, Portugal, Qatar, Reunion, Romania, Russian Federation, Rwanda, SX, Saint Barthélemy, Saint Martin (French Part), San Marino, Sao Tome and Principe, Saudi Arabia, Senegal, Serbia, Slovakia (Slovak Republic), Slovenia, South Georgia and the South Sandwich Islands, Spain, Sri Lanka, St. Pierre and Miquelon, Suriname, Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands, Swaziland, Sweden, Switzerland, Syrian Arab Republic, Taiwan, Tajikistan, Thailand, Timor-Leste, Togo, Tunisia, Turkey, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, United Arab Emirates, Uruguay, Uzbekistan, Vatican City State (Holy See), Venezuela, Viet Nam, Wallis and Futuna Islands, Western Sahara, Yemen|