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Understanding Residential Real Estate in China

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by Mali Chivakul & Raphael W. Lam
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Understanding Residential Real Estate in China by Mali Chivakul & Raphael W. Lam

China’s residential real estate sector plays an important role in the economy and has been a key driver of growth. Since 2014 the sector has softened visibly, reflecting overbuilding across many cities. An orderly adjustment of the sector is welcome. The key questions are how severe the adjustment will be and how long it will last. This paper uses various datasets, an analytical framework to estimate demand and supply conditions, and develops a number of scenarios to determine the oversupply both at the national level and by city tiers. It highlights that the adjustment will be a multiyear process with adverse implications for investment and growth. Smaller cities, as well as those in the Northeast region, face more challenging demand-supply dynamics. The key will be to allow the adjustment to take place, while avoiding a too sharp of an economic slowdown.

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Ebook Details
Pages: 25
Size: 5.6 MB
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Date published:   2015
ISBN: 9781484337257 (DRM-EPUB)

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This product is listed in the following categories:

Nonfiction > Business & Economics > Economics
Nonfiction > Business & Economics > International > Economics
Nonfiction > Business & Economics > Economics > Macroeconomics

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Nonfiction > Business & Economics
Nonfiction > Business & Economics > International
Nonfiction > Business & Economics > Finance
Nonfiction > Social Science > Demography
Nonfiction > Business & Economics > Economics
Nonfiction > Business & Economics > International > Economics
Nonfiction > Business & Economics > Economics > Macroeconomics
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05/30/2017
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